Pre-tourney Rankings
Big East
2015-16


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
5 Villanova 100.0%   1   29 - 5 16 - 2 29 - 5 16 - 2 +18.9      +10.4 11 +8.5 12 66.3 273 +19.4 2 +21.6 1
15 Xavier 100.0%   3   27 - 5 14 - 4 27 - 5 14 - 4 +15.8      +9.1 18 +6.7 30 78.1 30 +18.1 8 +17.1 2
28 Seton Hall 100.0%   6   25 - 8 12 - 6 25 - 8 12 - 6 +13.3      +4.9 60 +8.4 13 73.3 92 +15.1 16 +13.8 3
31 Butler 94.2%   9   21 - 10 10 - 8 21 - 10 10 - 8 +12.4      +8.9 20 +3.5 82 71.9 130 +12.2 34 +10.6 5
43 Creighton 0.4%   18 - 14 9 - 9 18 - 14 9 - 9 +10.7      +5.7 50 +5.0 50 74.5 79 +7.6 79 +9.2 6
51 Providence 98.2%   7   23 - 10 10 - 8 23 - 10 10 - 8 +10.0      +3.1 94 +6.9 27 71.4 139 +13.4 25 +11.0 4
70 Georgetown 0.0%   15 - 18 7 - 11 15 - 18 7 - 11 +8.0      +4.8 65 +3.2 91 68.9 205 +5.6 97 +6.2 8
93 Marquette 0.9%   20 - 13 8 - 10 20 - 13 8 - 10 +5.9      +2.9 100 +3.0 97 74.0 86 +9.0 64 +8.3 7
170 DePaul 0.0%   9 - 22 3 - 15 9 - 22 3 - 15 -0.6      +0.1 168 -0.7 189 68.0 227 +0.7 159 -0.5 9
209 St. John's 0.0%   7 - 24 1 - 17 7 - 24 1 - 17 -3.1      -5.2 304 +2.1 115 79.3 24 -4.8 236 -7.4 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Villanova 1.0 100.0
Xavier 2.0 100.0
Seton Hall 3.0 100.0
Butler 4.0 100.0
Creighton 6.0 100.0
Providence 4.0 100.0
Georgetown 8.0 100.0
Marquette 7.0 100.0
DePaul 9.0 100.0
St. John's 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Villanova 16 - 2 100.0
Xavier 14 - 4 100.0
Seton Hall 12 - 6 100.0
Butler 10 - 8 100.0
Creighton 9 - 9 100.0
Providence 10 - 8 100.0
Georgetown 7 - 11 100.0
Marquette 8 - 10 100.0
DePaul 3 - 15 100.0
St. John's 1 - 17 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Villanova 100.0% 100.0
Xavier
Seton Hall
Butler
Creighton
Providence
Georgetown
Marquette
DePaul
St. John's


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Villanova 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1   71.0 27.6 1.4 100.0%
Xavier 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3   8.7 37.2 50.7 3.4 0.0 100.0%
Seton Hall 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 6   1.2 15.2 38.1 41.8 3.7 0.0
Butler 94.2% 0.0% 94.2% 9   0.0 0.1 6.2 24.9 34.8 24.5 3.6 0.0 5.8 94.2%
Creighton 0.4% 0.0% 0.4% 0.2 0.1 0.0 99.6 0.4%
Providence 98.2% 0.0% 98.2% 7   0.0 2.5 34.1 40.8 18.4 2.5 0.1 1.8 98.2%
Georgetown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Marquette 0.9% 0.0% 0.9% 0.0 0.6 0.3 0.0 99.1 0.9%
DePaul 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. John's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Villanova 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 97.6% 75.2% 48.8% 28.6% 15.4% 7.8%
Xavier 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 89.9% 55.4% 26.9% 11.9% 5.1% 2.1%
Seton Hall 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 69.4% 31.2% 11.3% 4.1% 1.4% 0.5%
Butler 94.2% 2.0% 93.3% 50.8% 13.6% 5.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
Creighton 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Providence 98.2% 0.0% 98.2% 44.1% 9.0% 2.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Georgetown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marquette 0.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
DePaul 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. John's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 4.9 0.1 7.3 91.5 1.1
1st Round 100.0% 4.9 0.1 8.2 91.3 0.4
2nd Round 100.0% 3.5 0.0 0.9 11.2 35.5 39.9 12.5 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 94.7% 1.8 5.3 29.0 44.3 18.9 2.4 0.1
Elite Eight 71.0% 1.0 29.0 48.8 20.0 2.1 0.0
Final Four 42.5% 0.5 57.5 37.9 4.5 0.1
Final Game 22.0% 0.2 78.0 21.3 0.6
Champion 10.6% 0.1 89.4 10.6